Pearson Edexcel · A-Level · Economics B

    Course version: 9EB0 · Version from Sept 2015

    Exchange rates: a) Changes in exchange rates

    An exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in terms of another.

    Checked against the Pearson Edexcel 9EB0 specification (opens in a new tab) on .

    • Point 1 of 4
    • 4 key terms

    Study notes

    From the checked teaching notes for this specification point.

    The idea

    An exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in terms of another. Changes in exchange rates occur due to shifts in the supply and demand for a currency on the foreign exchange market. Factors causing these shifts include changes in interest rates, inflation rates, economic growth, and speculation. For example, if the Bank of England raises interest rates, hot money flows into the UK, increasing demand for the pound and causing it to appreciate. Conversely, if UK inflation is higher than its trading partners, UK exports become less competitive, reducing demand for the pound and causing it to depreciate.

    What earns the marks

    • Define exchange rate as the value of one currency expressed in terms of another.
    • Identify factors causing currency appreciation, such as higher interest rates or strong economic growth.
    • Identify factors causing currency depreciation, such as high relative inflation or a current account deficit.
    • Calculate the new value of a currency following a percentage change in the exchange rate.
    • Explain the role of speculation and hot money flows in determining short-term exchange rate movements.

    Common mistakes and how to put them right

    • Confusing appreciation and depreciation.

      Put it right: Appreciation means the currency buys more foreign currency; depreciation means it buys less.

    • Assuming a strong currency is always beneficial for an economy.

      Put it right: A strong currency makes exports more expensive and imports cheaper, which can worsen the current account deficit.

    • Calculating currency conversions incorrectly by multiplying instead of dividing.

      Put it right: Convert domestic to foreign currency, multiply by the exchange rate; to convert foreign to domestic, divide by the exchange rate.

    Exam tips

    • Always double-check your calculations when converting currencies, ensuring you are using the correct mathematical operation.
    • Use the acronym SPICED (Strong Pound Imports Cheap Exports Dear) to remember the effects of an appreciation.
    • When analysing exchange rate changes, consider both the short-term effects like hot money flows and long-term effects like trade balances.

    Try the lesson

    The start of the Exchange rates: a) Changes in exchange rates lesson, made from checked teaching notes for this specification point.

    Have a go first

    If the value of the British pound (£) changes from £1 = 1.25 to £1 =1.40, what has happened to the pound and what is the likely effect on UK export prices in the US?

    Listen

    An exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in terms of another. Changes in exchange rates occur due to shifts in the supply and demand for a currency on the foreign exchange market. Factors causing these shifts include changes in interest rates, inflation rates, economic growth, and speculation. For example, if the Bank of England raises interest rates, hot money flows into the UK, increasing demand for the pound and causing it to appreciate. Conversely, if UK inflation is higher than its trading partners, UK exports become less competitive, reducing demand for the pound and causing it to depreciate. A strong answer earns marks for these points. Define exchange rate as the value of one currency expressed in terms of another. Identify factors causing currency appreciation, such as higher interest rates or strong economic growth. Identify factors causing currency depreciation, such as high relative inflation or a current account deficit. Calculate the new value of a currency following a percentage change in the exchange rate. A common slip: Confusing appreciation and depreciation. Instead, Appreciation means the currency buys more foreign currency; depreciation means it buys less. Exam tip: Always double-check your calculations when converting currencies, ensuring you are using the correct mathematical operation.

    See it

    A flowchart with two separate chains. The first chain runs from a node reading 'Bank of England raises interest rates' to 'Hot money flows into the UK', then to 'Demand for the pound increases', and finally to 'The pound appreciates'. The second chain runs from 'UK inflation higher than trading partners' to 'UK exports become less competitive', then to 'Demand for the pound falls', and finally to 'The pound depreciates'. Each arrow points from cause to effect.
    It shows two chains of causes and effects: higher interest rates leading to hot money inflows, higher demand for the pound and appreciation, and higher relative inflation leading to less competitive exports, lower demand for the pound and depreciation.

    Key words

    Say what each word means before you turn the card.

    Exchange rate

    Try answering aloud or in your head before turning the card.

    Appreciation

    Try answering aloud or in your head before turning the card.

    Depreciation

    Try answering aloud or in your head before turning the card.

    Hot money flows

    Try answering aloud or in your head before turning the card.

    See every definition
    Exchange rate
    The price of one currency expressed in terms of another.
    Appreciation
    A rise in a currency's value so that it buys more foreign currency, caused for example by higher interest rates bringing in hot money flows.
    Depreciation
    A fall in a currency's value so that it buys less foreign currency, caused for example by high relative inflation making exports less competitive.
    Hot money flows
    Flows of money into a country when its interest rates rise, increasing demand for the currency and causing it to appreciate.

    Label the diagram

    Some boxes have lost their names. Pick the right name for each number.

    The diagram again, with 3 boxes numbered instead of named. A flowchart with two separate chains. The first chain runs from a node reading 'Bank of England raises interest rates' to 'Hot money flows into the UK', then to 'Demand for the pound increases', and finally to 'The pound appreciates'. The second chain runs from 'UK inflation higher than trading partners' to 'UK exports become less competitive', then to 'Demand for the pound falls', and finally to 'The pound depreciates'. Each arrow points from cause to effect.
    • 1Box 1

    • 2Box 2

    • 3Box 3

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