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    Paired tests — Edexcel A-Level Statistics

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    Paired tests explained

    This criterion covers three paired tests: the sign test, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test and the paired t-test.

    Read the full explanation

    You must choose the appropriate test from the data's features and interpret the outcome. The paired t-test assumes differences are approximately normally distributed; the Wilcoxon signed-rank test uses ranks of absolute differences and suits symmetric non-normal differences; the sign test uses only the direction of each difference and is the most robust but least powerful. For example, with paired measurements of a pollutant before and after treatment, if differences are clearly skewed you use the sign test. If differences are symmetric but not normal, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test is appropriate. In an MCQ you may be asked which test is suitable, or to interpret a given p-value for the chosen test.

    Your focus

    1. Identify paired data and form the within-pair differences before selecting a test.
    2. Choose between the sign test, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test and the paired t-test using the distributional features of the differences.
    3. Interpret the result of the chosen paired test in the context of the original variables and population.

    Paired tests exam tips

    Marking Points
    • Selects the paired t-test when the differences can reasonably be treated as approximately normally distributed, and interprets its result for the mean difference.
    • Selects the Wilcoxon signed-rank test when the differences are not approximately normal but are roughly symmetric, and interprets its result for the median difference.
    • Selects the sign test when only the direction of the differences is used or when differences are clearly skewed, and interprets its result for the median difference.
    • Recognises that all three tests are for paired data, so the analysis is based on the differences within each pair rather than on two independent samples.
    • Interprets the outcome in context, stating whether there is sufficient evidence of a change or difference in the named variable for the population concerned.
    Examiner Tips
    • 💡Check the data structure first: if each observation in one sample is matched with one in the other, the test must be paired.
    • 💡Look for clues about the distribution of the differences, such as skewness or outliers, to decide between the paired t-test and the rank-based tests.
    • 💡When interpreting, name the test, the parameter and the context, and state the conclusion in terms of evidence rather than proof.
    Common Mistakes
    • Using an independent two-sample test on paired data; the correction is to form the differences within each pair and apply a paired test.
    • Choosing the Wilcoxon signed-rank test when the differences are strongly skewed; the correction is to use the sign test instead, as Wilcoxon assumes symmetry.
    • Confusing the parameter being tested, for example claiming the Wilcoxon signed-rank test compares means; the correction is that it is used to test the median difference.
    • Ignoring the direction of the alternative hypothesis when interpreting the result; the correction is to match the conclusion to the one- or two-tailed alternative stated.